Making Expert NFL Picks Is Difficult But Not Impossible

April 22, 2011   Filed under General

Making expert NFL picks is pretty difficult. If you are picking against the point spread it is even more difficult. The reason for this is that the professionals who set the point spreads generally know more than the gamblers. They have more experience and may even have inside information. You can be an expert and still lose unless you are very selective in the games you pick. You can also win if you pick carefully.

Keep in mind that the point spread is set by the true experts. They are picking the team they think will win while also making the spread as tight as possible to balance the money bet on each team. They will adjust the point spread at times to adjust the amount bet on each team. The spread can change in the days leading up to a game. The Super Bowl is generally a good example of this. The initial point spread is usually not the final number. When the spread is first announced, if you think is is in your favor, bet it, don’t delay or you may lose your best chance to win.

No mater how much time you put into analysis and study, football can be frustrating. It is inherently unpredictable. A win will turn into a loss due to and last second turnover leading to a score. Weather and injuries can also wreak havoc on your picks. Every expert gets burned. You will win some when you should lose and lose some you should win.

The third thing to remember is that you do not have to pick every game every week. Play only those games that you think you will win. You can pick individual games or you can pick multiple games on a parlay card, but only pick the games you feel good about.

The fourth and probably most important thing to remember is to not get emotionally involved in your picks. If you do you will lose. Do not pick winners based on your favorite teams, colors, mascots or hometowns. You must remain impartial. If you must, avoid games where you are emotionally involved. This is the hardest thing to do. There are countless stories of winners turned into losers on the one pick that shouldn’t have been made.

Following these guidelines is no guarantee that you will win, however you will minimize your losses every week and when you have the big week your wins will outweigh any losses over the long run.

If you use these guidelines, you can make expert NFL picks and impress your friends and associates.

Looking to find the best free football picks, then visit our site to find the best advice on expert NFL picks for you.

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